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Entries tagged with “risk”

  • PER 2020 Performance!

    PER is off to a great start in 2020! Checkout PER's price performance below. PER has price performance of 18.96% versus the Nasdaq 100 EWI of -5.44%. As a paid Member of PER Interactive, you get access to the price swing allocations as they are called! Become a PER Member here and get ready for the next price swing!
  • PER Loves All Our Clients!

    Happy Valentines Day, as an existing PER client you receive 1/2 hour of personalized price consultation, good for any future date. PER loves assisting and serving you and happily wants you to continue to outperform price. As a new purchasing Member thru Wednesday 2/22/20, you will receive an extra promotional month with your new Membership. PER loves all clients! Best, John Price, CMT ...Click Membership Now
  • It Is A Different Bug

    It is likely that the coronavirus will continue to be a catylyst or execuse for risk off, which leads to continued yield buying to zero. It is not likely that it will turn out to be the actual financial crisis, but it may be the fuel to carry yields to zero. This is a problem longer term for the profits of banks and the record junk yield that is due 2020-2024. It is a different kind of bug and one that we have never faced in modern global times, it is the zero yield bug that will be the next…
  • Q1 High Or Low

    Within the PER Members area, it is analyzed whether the high or low of this quarter in price has been put in. It can be determined from last quarter's price activity precisely whether the Q1 high or low is in, as of today! Do you want to know where the Q-1 price activity is headed before it heads there? This is exceptional price knowledge and extremely valuable. Log in as a member and you will know it and see firsthand. If you have ever seen this exceptional price knowledge before and you can verify where you learned it first, I will…
  • Anticipating The Anticipators

    There are different incentive and promotion strategies and different time frames of those strategies, flowing all at once. Read the financial statements and the financial statement notes of Tesla and one can understand its capital structure. That capital structure needs frequent liquidity promotion and liquidity for survival. Who are the players that benefit for providing the liquidity? Read the notes. There is an incentive in many ways, for having a higher equity price play out pretty quickly and controlling that process. Don't be surprised to see a debt offering sometime soon while yields are positive. Does the lender benefit to do that debt…
  • Mean Reversion & Cheers!

    Cheers, market participants are complacently forgetting where they are in the cycle and what the cycle actually is for 2020! Momentum alone and momentum within every price whim, is a perilous strategy for election years. Mean reversion is the correct price strategy and has a 30/30 100% success rate in election years. Take a look here and within the PER Member's area.
  • It Does Not Hurt

    Exceptional price knowledge does not hurt you to know it and it does not reward you if you don't know it! In all 4/4 cases for 100% since 1932, when this happened statistically ______________________________________________________, the reward and returns for this _______ were this ___! More importantly for long term investors, when this ________________________________________________________________________occurred 13/13 times or 100% of the time since 1896, the returns for this ______ were this ___! Log into PER here.
  • Top Of The Mountain

    2/3, While out snowmobiling over the weekend I looked at the top of the mountain. When you hike to the top of a mountain, it is an exhilarating feeling after you reach the peak area of the top. You stand there flat footed and you don't feel like you are at the top anymore. Why? Because you are standing there. So you walk around and you walk a little lower and you walk back and forth and then you walk back to the top again. You realize that you are at the top and you can't go higher on this mountain and…
  • Leading Race Horses To Water

    1/29, PER presented a webinar live to CMT Association Members at 12pm EST and led these attending race horses to exceptional water. This presentation contained valuable PER methodologies and analysis that was provided to our private Members and private clients throughout December 2019 and early January 2020. However, much of this presentation is still valuable while moving forward from todays date of 1/31/2020. Enjoy the PER sample and watch the video below, and be prepared for the next important move as a PER Member.
  • Eat The Positive Yield

    The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury keep getting the word out! The word to markets is to expect declining yields. The policies that are in motion and many external global factors will continue to accentuate U.S. yields to zero and/or negative. Capping Treasury Yields and A 100-Year Treasury, are meant to keep yields low and will help drive yields lower. Equity markets may ignore this in the short run as it can be perceived as stimulative, but it is the next global financial crisis and it is already in full motion. Zero and/or negative yields will erase bank profits and…
  • CMT Association Webinar 1/29

    I will be speaking via webinar thru the CMT Association, this Wednesday 1/29 at 12 pm EST! Click and register here for the upcoming presentation. 
  • See What Is In Front Of You

    It is important to pay attention and notice what is directly in front of you! While I was out snowmobiling and I crossed a designated trail on a lake, I could see all these boulders sticking thru the ice that are about 10-12 feet high. So I stopped and did some thinking, this means there was 12-14 feet or more of water here at some point within earth's history. Water seeks its level and the water definitely covered those rocks. I didn't drive right by and just go to the next spot, I stopped and looked and did a lot of…
  • Market Performance Of A Cow

    The U.S. market performance of 2019 was promoted and touted heading into this year, by those with a vested interest in promotion! The reality is and while looking thru the correct cyclical lenses of interpretation, last year was a cow or a bull without horns. Last years performance of the overall market was not good historically. Since 1896 via the DJIA, last years percentage positive return was in the bottom 21%. Meaning the worst within the bottom 21% in positive returns! If you would like to acquire the knowledge of price cyclically and its importance, login here. You will understand the power and…
  • Negative U.S. Yields

    Policy makers are set on devaluing the U.S. dollar and falling yields tie into this premise. When U.S. yields get down to zero and/or negative it is the next financial crisis. In some ways, it may be worse than the 2009 financial crisis. The global financial system and its components revolve around a positive fixed yield for income. This income officially disappears when U.S. positive yields disappear. The global economy and the global players that have negative yields, have been piggybacking on positive U.S. yields to support their systems and capture income. Once these positive yields disappear, the income disappears and it…
  • The Move Up Is Like This

    Yes, having the right (PER) momentum tools and knowing when to use them is very effective. Market participants have forgotten or are blatantly unaware of the important cyclical price considerations of 2020! What goes around comes around and by the time one sees it happen, its too late to act appropriately. Login here now, knowledge is powerful! Participants are moving like this below, click play to watch. Pay attention to how it begins and ends.
  • Riding The Horse

    When everyone publicly announces how great the horse is and that they have been riding it, that horse becomes tired, starts to get sweaty and becomes less relevant. You can't expect much more from that horse and you certainly are thinking about getting off that horse for your own safety! Mr. Tepper, “I love riding a horse that’s running” and Mr. Druckenmiller, “riding the horse”, they have publicly announced that they have been riding that horse here and over here. Log into PER here to take a look at this horse the PER way, for your own safety!!
  • The First Correction

    The first meaningful correction of price this year will break the December 2019 low! When this occurs on the calendar is very important and will provide valuable and insightful knowledge of how the rest of year plays out. No, I am not talking about the January effect. 2020 is not guaranteed from a historical price pattern analysis perspective, to post a positive return. This year falls in the bottom 10% percent, log in to PER here to see the important Price considerations for 2020 and stay ahead of them!
  • I DONT UNDERSTAND WHY

    Hopefully, the heading got your attention and you are reading this! I intend to help you with price and that is my passion. I don't understand why price goes irrational and I never will. I have to accept this premise and ignore the WHY, to serve you best. I focus on understanding price and clearly defining its momentum in order to lead price and its movements. Knowledge is powerful! Right now and in front of you lies the most important time window to see thru in order to beat price for all of next year! Login now to get the point and…
  • WHAT IS ACTUALLY IMPORTANT WITH JANUARY PRICE!

    Each year there are all these forecasts and assumptions for the year, based upon what happens to price in January! Crazy Right?! First five days in January, January overall, What if the December low is broken or what if it isn't? What if this happens or what if that happens? PER sifts thru all this info in relation to election years right now and throughout December, before January shows up. What is important and what is not surrounding price activity? What is garbage and what is not and what one should pay attention to in January? PER will actually anticipate the first…
  • WHAT HAPPENS TO PRICE THANKSGIVING THRU DECEMBER (PRE-ELECTION YEARS)!

    In pre-election years, price has a very specific pattern thru December, while paying attention to the price low of the previous November! Gobble Gobble, this pattern may easily be measured from Thanksgiving thru December. So what is the relationship and why is it so important in pre-election years? This is discussed relative to our price methodologies within the members area of PER. Login into the members area! 
  • HOW DID PER HELP YOU WITH PRICE IN 2019?

    PER helped you throughout 2019 to lead price turns to mitigate price risk and enhance your reward! Review 2019 in the the picture below. This is the summary of the 2019 price allocations that were strategically defined for you. How did PER help you with this price performance and actually lead these turns? Log into PER now as a guest to see first hand and review 2019 as a report. As a member, PER looks forward to strategically helping you outperform price in 2020! 
  • Coming US Negative Interest Rates Are Problematic!

    The whole global financial system revolves around positive yield! When the U.S. has negative rates it is a game changer for the entire system. All those models that revolve around positive fixed yield will dissapear. The risk from negative yields is unforseen and unknown as new models have to be created. Risk assets will be sold to become liquid for the unforseen. First it will show up in the credit markets and then it will carry over to equity markets. One can argue that the warning signs already exist in the fixed income space. It just becomes the timing within…
  • The Greatest Value Manager Of All Time!

    When it occurs, it will be the next financial crisis! The first negative yielding country was Denmark in 2009. 80%ish of all countries had negative yielding debt at a point in August of this year. There was also roughly 17 trillion in negative yielding debt in August. When the U.S. has negative yielding debt it will disrupt the whole global financial system in the short run.  
  • PRE-ELECTION YEARS (Quarter 4 Price Lows)

    In pre-election years there are always highs in August/September that lead to lows in the following quarter and there are always lows in August/September that lead to price increases in the following quarter. What are the mean % price increases for these and how long do they play out? These very important statistics allow one to determine the low risk setups for Q-4. Where are the prices of indices right now within these time frames and what will these price setups be for this quarter? These questions are answered and analyzed within PER right now!